Racing at Del Mar with Marc Doche: El Cajon opening act for 3-year-olds ahead of Derby - Pick 4 Blog
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Racing at Del Mar with Marc Doche: El Cajon opening act for 3-year-olds ahead of Derby

After mixing it up through a contentious pace, Fury Kapcori couldn't hold off Violence in last year's Cash Call Futurity (G1).

After mixing it up through a contentious pace, Fury Kapcori couldn’t hold off Violence in last year’s Cash Call Futurity (G1).

The final Friday evening of the summer just foot steps from the sand sees a Pick-6 carryover of $81,441 and a talented group 3-year-olds in the spotlight traversing a mile on the main track in the $100,000 El Cajon Stakes ahead of Sunday’s Del Mar Derby (Grade 2) .

The runner-up in last year’s Cash Call Futurity (G1) behind then Kentucky Derby favorite Violence, Fury Kapcori makes his second start of the year after a decent while troubled come back sprint against older runners on August 1. Having shown speed in his three tries routing, the Tiznow colt should sit just off the pace behind speedier rivals under leading rider Rafael Bejarano.

We likely won’t get 12-to-1 on Holy Lute, as that price was prior to a late scratch, but the odds should be fair on this pricey weanling purchase that lived up to that tag in a dominating maiden win over a next out winner earlier this month. The mile distance should be well within the scope of this sizey Midnight Lute colt and he can be up to the task of facing stakes company in his first against winners.

Cal-bred Tiz a Minister is the most accomplished of the bunch as the 9-to-2 second choice having earned over $450,000 while winning a pair of stakes including the Affirmed Handicap (G3). However, the late-running son of Ministers Wild Cat is winless in four tries over this main track and looked to be spinning his wheels through the lane in the Real Good Deal Stakes on August 2.

We’re off to the races!

Pick 5 –

Leg 1 – Race 1 (3) – This could be the best chance for grizzled vet Omar Berrio to notch one more win in is career after suffering a series of strokes, as he should be lone speed aboard No. 3 Tornado Allie with a cast of suspect closers in chase mode.

Leg 2 – Race 2 (1,8,9) – No. 1 Susans Express is an interesting long shot considering her sister, Oscillator, won by over five lengths in her debut over this track.

No. 9 My Lucky Rose has speed and should go favored on the class drop and No. 8 Glorious Rebecca is another big price that hasn’t skipped a beat ahead of her debut.

Leg 3 – Race 3 (2,5,6,9,10) – No. 5 Blues and Silvers is a win machine, but she gets the toughest test of her career in this second-level allowance optional claimer where we spread with No. 2 Vionnet, No. 6 English Crossing, No. 9 Fantastic Mizz and No. 10 Double Ante.

Leg 4 – Race 4 (1,2,4,9) – No. 4 Mia’s Storm has the all-important experience edge out of a solid runner-up effort, but the horse she chased came back to flop and she takes a slight bump up in class so we’ll add a trio of debut runners with No. 1 Quick Approval, No. 2 Peggy Lynn and No. 9 Take One.

Leg 5 – Race 5 (2,3,6,8) – Once promising No. 8 Frenemy lands at the bottom and could out class these if he can hold it together.

Both No. 2 and No. 3 Seven Bridges are drawn well, make their third start off a layoff and exit solid route efforts over this main track.

No. 6 Amp and Adrenalin can pull the upset if he’s closer to the pace than he was two weeks ago and can tuck in behind the trio of front-runners.

Recap – (3) w (1,8,9) w (2,5,6,9,10) w (1,2,4,9) w (2,3,6,8) – Total cost of ticket = $120

Yesterday’s Result – (-$225)

Total for current Del Mar meet – (-$2,871.80)

Total from 7/20/11 – 7/14/13 – (+$21,364.70)

Late Pick 4 -

Leg 1 – Race 4 (1,2,4,9) – Same quartet as the Pick-5.

Leg 2 – Race 5 (2,3,6,8) – Same quartet as the Pick-5.

Leg 3 – Race 6 (4,8) – Stick with the preferred pair from above with No. 4 Fury Kapicori and No. 8 Holy Lute.

Leg 4 – Race 7 (3,5,6) – A late start for the 4-year-old filly No. 5 Cee’s Tizzy Belle, but if she’s anything like older sis Tiz Flirtatious, she can roll late to win on debut with turf dynamo Julien Leparoux in the irons. Marty Jones can strike with a firster and she hasn’t missed a beat in the morning for nearly three months.

Another debut runners is kin to a solid turf route performer, so include No. 3 Tribal Valentine, along with the best of the experience runners and likely favorite despite icy connections No. 6 Van Dien Avenue.

Recap – (1,2,4,9) w (2,3,6,8) w (4,8) w (3,5,6) Total cost of ticket = $48

Yesterday’s Result – (-$120)

Total for current Del Mar meet – (-$2,138.10)

Total from 12/26/10 – 7/14/13 – (-$6,997.95)

Best Bet of the Day – Can now be found in the Handicapping section at http://www.dmtc.com/handicapping/doche/.

Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches and much more!

Check out my blogs for America’s Best Racing on www.followhorseracing.com!

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For more Del Mar action check out Jarrod Horak’s Pick 6 Blog.

Good luck!

2 Comments

  1. phil trovato

    August 31, 2013 at 3:29 am

    Your Best Bet R7 #5 -got a passive handride from L -jock made his move to late-I believe closer to the pace and # 5 wins. My P4 ticket-all/3-4-8-10/all/5. He had his mind on his late night plane trip to Saratoga !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • Marc

      August 31, 2013 at 4:08 am

      Leparoux has been riding great, especially on turf, but that wasn’t a very good ride. Way too far back. She’ll be tough next time. Should have made Holy Lute my best bet instead. Had lots of good ideas today, but wasn’t able to put it all together for a big score.

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