Racing at Del Mar with Marc Doche: Miller geldings chase Strong Wind - Pick 4 Blog
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Racing at Del Mar with Marc Doche: Miller geldings chase Strong Wind

Strong Wind hit the wire third in between horses in the Green Flash earlier this month, but was moved up to second since Distinctiv Passion lugged out and impeded his path in the stretch.

Strong Wind hit the wire third in between horses in the Green Flash earlier this month, but was moved up to second since Distinctiv Passion lugged out and impeded his path in the stretch.

Before the meet closes with a bang over its final five days, four bottom-level races are part of a nine-race card with eight claiming heats and a starter allowance for runners that have never won twice. Though the quality is lacking, the field sizes are busting at the seams, making the races difficult to handicap and the potential for tote board blow ups.

If 9-to-5 morning line favorite Strong Wind can fire a third big shot sprinting five furlongs on turf, he’ll win the featured allowance $62,500 allowance optional claimer. However, the 3-year-old Tribal Rule Colt makes his third start of the month and was unable to string together a trio of solid efforts through a nine-race juvenile campaign.

Pete Miller sends 3-to-1 co-second choices that each paid a visit to the vet to have their junk removed since last raced on August 7.

A Toast to You makes his second start off the layoff after a runner-up finish behind streaking Et Tu Walker. The 4-year-old son of Tribal Rule is winless in his last eight starts, but has finished in the money six times over that stretch and won over this layout last summer.

Summer Exclusive is without his nuts, but blinkers are back on for the first time since winning his debut on the dirt at Santa Anita in March. Also back on for the first time since that win is Garrett Gomez, who should have the 3-year-old son of Exclusive Quality on the engine early looking to improve on off the board finishes in a pair of tries against his elders.

We’re off to the races!

Pick 5 –

Leg 1 – Race 1 (2,3,4,5,6) – Five-deep with maiden claimers in the opener using No. 2 Two Blue Hens, No. 3 Tiz Zoe Cee, No. 4 Intoxicating Move, No. 5 Itsabeautifulday and No. 6 Mille Luna.

Leg 2 – Race 2 (2,5,7) – No. 7 Free Time could clear to the front with No. 2 Field Report and No. 5 Toledo Eddie in close pursuit.

Leg 3 – Race 3 (1,4,5,8,11) – More maiden claimers, this time the bottom-level variety over seven furlongs in a redo of the finale on Saturday that was scrapped, and we use five more with No. 1 Hope n’ Pray, No. 4 Juan’s Corazonsito, No. 5 Cruel Spirits, No. 8 The Gatekeeper and No. 11 Warren’s Tyler S.

Leg 4 – Race 4 (6,7) – No. 6 Unkept Rendez Vous stretches back out after a pair of sprints at the meet and was closing late eight days ago to just miss. Victor’s Garcia’s numbers first off the claim are gaudy.

No. 7 Pure Blush drops to the bottom after getting pulled up, but has worked consistently since.

Leg 5 – Race 5 (1,2,8) – Plenty of speed signed on for this mile turf affair with the rails out at 14 feet, and although No. 1 Motivated enters off a wire-to-wire win at Tampa Bay Downs, we’ll expect her to tuck in behind the speed and save ground along the rail with Julien Leparoux aboard. Tom Proctor has done well spotting his ship and win entrants.

That speed is likely led by No. 2 Journey On, who blitzed sprinters to break her maiden in ridiculous fast time for the level two weeks ago. She may bounce off that effort, but is bred to go long on turf so could also move forward.

After facing too tough in her last, No. 8 Cavalletta is back at a level where she looks to break though after a serious case of seconditis.

Recap – (2,3,4,5,6) w (2,5,7) w (1,4,5,8,11) w (6,7) w (1,2,8) – Total cost of ticket = $225

Yesterday’s Result – (-$144)

Total for current Del Mar meet – (-$2,646.80)

Total from 7/20/11 – 7/14/13 – (+$21,364.70)

Late Pick 4 -

Leg 1 – Race 6 (3,4,7,9) – Along with the logical trio of No. 3 Sailors Brother, No. 4 Brighton Star and No. 7 Znelle, add No. 9 New Order dropping from the maiden special weight ranks and getting a massive rider upgrade.

Leg 2 – Race 7 (3,7,9,10,12) – Another five-deep spread with bottom-level runners that have never won twice using No. 3 Bluegrass Ellie, No. 7 Out of Thin Air, No. 9 Pat’s Back, No. 10 Amulay and No. 12 Decoy.

Leg 3 – Race 8 (3,5) – Use two of the three discussed above with No. 3 Strong Wind and No. 5 A Toast to You.

Leg 4 – Race 9 (3,5,7,8,10,11) – No. 10 Denzel is another Bob Baffert class plunger for sale. Anywhere near his best decimates these cellar dwellers.

He’ll probably be odds-on, so we’ll try to beat him with No. 3 Mary Helen’s Storm, No. 5 Concorde West, No. 7 Arizona Wildcat, No. 8 Tale Be Told and No. 11 Regally Soul.

Recap – (3,4,7,9) w (3,7,9,10,12) w (3,5) w (3,5,7,8,10,11) Total cost of ticket = $120

Yesterday’s Result – (-$72)

Total for current Del Mar meet – (-$2,018.10)

Total from 12/26/10 – 7/14/13 – (-$6,997.95)

Best Bet of the Day – Can now be found in the Handicapping section at http://www.dmtc.com/handicapping/doche/.

Make sure to follow me on Twitter @mdoche for last minute changes caused by scratches and much more!

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For more Del Mar action check out Jarrod Horak’s Pick 6 Blog.

Good luck!

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